XM1014 | Watchdog
def 25 · paint 1103 · float 0.00–1.00
Price by wear
What is asked, and what is paid. "Cheapest" and "median ask" come from our own offers, with the count behind them; "last sale" and "sold 30 d" come from Steam's sales history. The "vs Steam" column compares our cheapest offer to what Steam buyers actually paid: −30 to −40 % is the norm, because a Steam balance cannot be withdrawn while a third-party market is paid in real money. It is the unusual gap that is worth a look — and a positive figure means paying more than you would on Steam.
| Wear | Offers | Cheapest | Median ask | Last sale | vs Steam | Sold 30 d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FNFactory New | 30 | $7.37 | $7.82 | — | — | — |
| MWMinimal Wear | 63 | $2.57 | $3.04 | — | — | — |
| FTField-Tested | 34 | $1.49 | $1.78 | — | — | — |
| WWWell-Worn | 9 | $1.14 | $5.23 | — | — | — |
| BSBattle-Scarred | 26 | $1.07 | $1.31 | — | — | — |
| FNFactory Newstattrak | 25 | $24.46 | $26.79 | — | — | — |
| MWMinimal Wearstattrak | 21 | $5.03 | $5.56 | — | — | — |
| FTField-Testedstattrak | 13 | $2.84 | $3.02 | — | — | — |
| WWWell-Wornstattrak | 24 | $1.63 | $1.68 | — | — | — |
| BSBattle-Scarredstattrak | 15 | $1.60 | $2.34 | — | — | — |
Spread across markets
At one exact wear, on XM1014 | Watchdog (Minimal Wear) — the deepest variant. Comparing two different wears means nothing.
$2.55 between the cheapest and the dearest market, that is 99 %.
Lowest float on sale
Across every offer we hold for this skin, all wears together.
260 offers carry a float, from 0.0005 to 0.9333
Float distribution
The 260 offers that carry a float, spread over the skin's own range. Says whether a low float is rare here or ordinary.
Order book depth
On XM1014 | Watchdog (Minimal Wear): the price of the 1st, 5th, 10th… cheapest offer. A floor held up by a single listing is not a price.
1th
$2.57
5th
$2.66
10th
$2.66
25th
$2.78
50th
$3.84
Sticker premium
Medians on XM1014 | Watchdog (Minimal Wear), so at one exact wear — comparing a stickered Factory New to a bare Battle-Scarred would only measure the wear.
With stickers (2)
$2.88
Without (61)
$3.04
Gap
-5 %
Open or buy
What one copy costs on average by opening the case — the case plus a key, divided by the odds — against buying one outright. Opening also rolls the wear at random, so the cost per copy is compared to the cheapest offer across every wear.
Buying one outright: $1.07, across every wear.