M4A4 | Hellfire
def 16 · paint 664 · float 0.00–0.50
Sales history
-14.6 %over 90 daysThe daily median of real sales on Steam, not asking prices — and under the line, how many changed hands that day, at its own scale. A price that moved on two sales and a price that moved on two thousand are not the same fact.
Price by wear
What is asked, and what is paid. "Cheapest" and "median ask" come from our own offers, with the count behind them; "last sale" and "sold 30 d" come from Steam's sales history. The "vs Steam" column compares our cheapest offer to what Steam buyers actually paid: −30 to −40 % is the norm, because a Steam balance cannot be withdrawn while a third-party market is paid in real money. It is the unusual gap that is worth a look — and a positive figure means paying more than you would on Steam.
| Wear | Offers | Cheapest | Median ask | Last sale | vs Steam | Sold 30 d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FNFactory New | 84 | $404.61 | $476.95 | $489.01 | -17 % | 8 |
| MWMinimal Wear | 82 | $215.02 | $364.11 | $258.54 | -17 % | 20 |
| FTField-Tested | 65 | $177.85 | $273.08 | — | — | — |
| WWWell-Worn | 46 | $69.38 | $84.14 | — | — | — |
| BSBattle-Scarred | 28 | $70.43 | $71.72 | — | — | — |
| FNFactory Newstattrak | 42 | $225.52 | $244.78 | — | — | — |
| MWMinimal Wearstattrak | 28 | $164.26 | $190.59 | — | — | — |
| FTField-Testedstattrak | 36 | $102.11 | $121.96 | — | — | — |
| WWWell-Wornstattrak | 5 | $117.33 | $121.63 | — | — | — |
| BSBattle-Scarredstattrak | 8 | $108.81 | $111.04 | — | — | — |
Spread across markets
At one exact wear, on M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) — the deepest variant. Comparing two different wears means nothing.
$400.79 between the cheapest and the dearest market, that is 99 %.
Lowest float on sale
Across every offer we hold for this skin, all wears together.
424 offers carry a float, from 0.0000 to 0.4991
Sales level
On M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New), from Steam's sales history. The all-time high is converted at today's rate: it answers "how far below its peak", not "what did it cost in 2015".
Last sale
$489.01
Sold 30 d
8
Sold 24 h
2
30 d range
$310.25 – $506.11
Peak
$1,398.84
Below peak
65 %
Float distribution
The 424 offers that carry a float, spread over the skin's own range. Says whether a low float is rare here or ordinary.
Order book depth
On M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New): the price of the 1st, 5th, 10th… cheapest offer. A floor held up by a single listing is not a price.
1th
$404.61
5th
$406.89
10th
$414.25
25th
$428.43
50th
$546.20
Sticker premium
Medians on M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New), so at one exact wear — comparing a stickered Factory New to a bare Battle-Scarred would only measure the wear.
With stickers (37)
$487.09
Without (47)
$464.93
Gap
5 %
Open or buy
What one copy costs on average by opening the case — the case plus a key, divided by the odds — against buying one outright. Opening also rolls the wear at random, so the cost per copy is compared to the cheapest offer across every wear.
Buying one outright: $69.38, across every wear.